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Volume 30 (1)
Volume 30, Issue 1, Winter 2010
J Contin Educ Health Prof 2010; 30(1):3-10
ORIGINAL RESEARCH
The growth, characteristics, and future of online CME
John M. Harris Jr., Bernard M. Sklar, Robert W. Amend, Cheryl Novalis-Marine
A b s t r a c t
Introduction: Physician use of online continuing medical education (CME) is growing, but there are conflicting data on the uptake of online CME and few details on this market.
Methods: Analyses of 11 years of data from the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education (ACCME) and a survey of 272 publicly available CME Web sites.
Results: The data suggest that online CME was 6.9%–8.8% of CME consumed in 2008. If previous exponential growth continues, online CME is likely to be 50% of all CME consumed within 7–10 years. Most (60%) online CME is produced by medical publishing and education companies. The online CME marketplace is consolidating, with 16% of surveyed sites providing 76% of available credits. Currently, 70% of online CME is offered at $10 or less per credit. Most online CME uses low-technology educational approaches, such as pure text and repurposed live lectures.
Discussion: Online CME use is growing rapidly and is likely to be half of all CME consumed by practicing physicians within a few years. The pattern is consistent with Christensen’s model of "disruptive innovation", whereby an innovative technology eventually displaces an incumbent technology by first providing a relatively low-quality, low-cost product that meets the needs of unserved customers. The technologies being developed for online CME may facilitate broader changes in medical education as well.
Lessons for Practice
- Conflicting public data on the growth of online CME can be reconciled, using a calculation that adjusts for number of activities, number of physician participants, and length of an average CME activity for each type of CME format.
- Based on this calculation, online CME is less than 10% of the CME that U.S. physicians consume annually, but the growth rate is exponential.
- Within 7 years online CME is likely to comprise 50% of all CME consumed in the United States.
- The online CME market is being developed by commercial education companies.
- Trends in the development of online CME are consistent with patterns of "disruptive innovation" described in other industries
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